Sport Picks
Jerez CF vs CD Santa Marta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between Jerez CF and CD Santa Marta finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerez CF.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerez CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Santa Marta haven't matched Jerez CF's recent run of results.
- Jerez CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Jerez CF have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 16%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jerez CF | CD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CD Santa Marta
1:0
Aug 29, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Jerez CF
1:5
Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CD Santa Marta
4:0
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Jerez CF
0:2
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs CD Santa Marta
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jerez CF 84 / 100
CD Santa Marta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jerez CF CD Santa Marta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jerez CF scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: CD Santa Marta conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Jerez CF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Jerez CF VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jerez CF
(Home) 27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
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CD Santa Marta
(Away) 15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2 Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1 CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0 Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0 CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4 Valdelacalzada
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1 CD Santa Marta
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0 CD Santa Marta
10 Apr
Ciduad de Plasencia
1 : 0 CD Santa Marta
20 Mar
Atletico San Jose Promesas
1 : 2 CD Santa Marta
06 Mar
CD Coria
1 : 0 CD Santa Marta
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 109:19 | 101 |
| 2 | Jerez CF | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 77:14 | 89 |
| 3 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 77:26 | 79 |
| 4 | Arroyo | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 72:43 | 74 |
| 5 | Merida UD | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 55:28 | 72 |
| 6 | Sp. Villanueva | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 71:50 | 67 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Don Benito | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:50 | 53 |
| 9 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:49 | 51 |
| 10 | Imperio Merida | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 59:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Olivenza CP | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 28:42 | 44 |
| 13 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 54:68 | 43 |
| 14 | Moralo | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:52 | 43 |
| 15 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 35:54 | 40 |
| 16 | CD Coria | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Santa Marta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 43:70 | 31 |
| 18 | Montehermoso | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 31:79 | 30 |
| 19 | La Estrella | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 27:84 | 27 |
| 20 | SP Villafranca | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 30:87 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
