Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerez CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jerez CF lately — more wins on the board than La Estrella.
- Jerez CF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 17%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jerez CF | La Estrella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 14 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs La Estrella
0:0
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Jerez CF
1:0
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs La Estrella
0:0
Oct 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Jerez CF
0:3
Jan 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Jerez CF
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jerez CF 84 / 100
La Estrella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jerez CF La Estrella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jerez CF scored in 80% of their last 41 games.
La Estrella has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Away concern: La Estrella has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Solid form: Jerez CF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jerez CF VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Jerez CF
(Home) 27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1 Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 9
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2 Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1 Montehermoso
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2 Don Benito
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
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La Estrella
(Away) 23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3 CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2 UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2 Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0 La Estrella
Page 1 of 7
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 La Estrella
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0 La Estrella
12 Mar
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 La Estrella
26 Feb
Jerez CF
0 : 0 La Estrella
12 Feb
Miajadas
0 : 0 La Estrella
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cacereno | 38 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 81:16 | 92 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 90:17 | 85 |
| 3 | Jerez CF | 38 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 58:26 | 79 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 83:42 | 74 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 62:29 | 72 |
| 6 | Don Benito | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 62:26 | 68 |
| 7 | CD Calamonte | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 70:39 | 62 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 59:56 | 59 |
| 9 | Moralo | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:58 | 52 |
| 10 | Olivenza FC | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:54 | 47 |
| 11 | Montijo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:59 | 43 |
| 12 | CP Amanecer | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 52:58 | 43 |
| 13 | Extremadura UD B | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 49:55 | 40 |
| 14 | CP Valdivia | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 34:63 | 39 |
| 15 | Arroyo | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 31:64 | 37 |
| 16 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 34:82 | 36 |
| 17 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 34:64 | 35 |
| 18 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 42:69 | 34 |
| 19 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 34:95 | 24 |
| 20 | La Estrella | 38 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 34:79 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
