Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025

Jerez CF

2 - 1

Olivenza FC

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Quique Roldan

(Penalty)

45'

Chavez C.

(Penalty)

73'

Chavez C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between Jerez CF and Olivenza FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerez CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Jerez CF

Draws

Olivenza FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Olivenza FC haven't matched Jerez CF's recent run of results.
Model gives Jerez CF a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Jerez CF Clean Sheet 68%

Olivenza FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jerez CF	Olivenza FC
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	3
Draws	14	8
Losses	8	19
Goals Scored	1.63	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Olivenza FC vs Jerez CF

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Jerez CF vs Olivenza FC

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Aug 18, 2024 Club Friendly

Jerez CF vs Olivenza FC

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Olivenza FC vs Jerez CF

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Jerez CF vs Olivenza FC

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 4 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerez CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Olivenza FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 95 / 100

Olivenza FC 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jerez CF Olivenza FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Olivenza FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Olivenza FC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS -

1.63 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Extremadura	34	23	6	5	73:22	75
2	CD Azuaga	34	20	11	3	65:28	71
3	Jaraiz	34	21	6	7	65:40	69
4	AD Llerenense	34	21	5	8	58:28	68
5	CD Badajoz	34	17	12	5	54:20	63
6	CD Diocesano	34	17	7	10	58:38	58
7	Santa Amalia	34	16	6	12	31:31	54
8	Jerez CF	34	14	9	11	50:48	51
9	SP Villafranca	34	14	5	15	55:55	47
10	Moralo	34	13	7	14	52:50	46
11	Montijo	34	11	12	11	35:34	45
12	Pueblonuevo	34	9	9	16	42:71	36
13	CD Calamonte	34	8	9	17	36:48	33
14	Puebla de la Calzada	34	7	11	16	35:56	32
15	Castuera	34	7	8	19	46:64	29
16	CF Trujillo	34	6	10	18	32:63	28
17	Arroyo	34	5	7	22	32:70	22
18	Olivenza FC	34	3	8	23	26:79	17