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Jerez CF vs RCP Valverdeno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Romero A.
62' Event
Chavez C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jerez CF
15%
Draws
39%
RCP Valverdeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerez CF lately — more wins on the board than RCP Valverdeno.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 68%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF RCP Valverdeno
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 14 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.74 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs RCP Valverdeno
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Jerez CF
0:0
Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Jerez CF
0:2
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs RCP Valverdeno
1:0
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Jerez CF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerez CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

RCP Valverdeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 41 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF RCP Valverdeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF scored in 84% of their last 38 games.

RCP Valverdeno has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Jerez CF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

RCP Valverdeno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
Page 1 of 8

RCP Valverdeno

(Away)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)