Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerez CF vs Sp. Villanueva

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sp. Villanueva in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sp. Villanueva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jerez CF
33%
Draws
27%
Sp. Villanueva
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sp. Villanueva haven't matched Jerez CF's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Jerez CF a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 20%
Sp. Villanueva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerez CF Sp. Villanueva
Matches Played 43 34
Wins 17 3
Draws 16 7
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Sp. Villanueva
2:3
Oct 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sp. Villanueva vs Jerez CF
1:1
Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Sp. Villanueva
0:0
Sep 6, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sp. Villanueva vs Jerez CF
0:1
Jan 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs Sp. Villanueva
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerez CF 40 / 100
Sp. Villanueva 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerez CF Sp. Villanueva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerez CF's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Sp. Villanueva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 34 matches.

Sp. Villanueva lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jerez CF VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerez CF

(Home)
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
26 Apr
Villanovense
2 : 0
Jerez CF
19 Apr
Jerez CF
0 : 2
Don Benito
12 Apr
Cabeza del Buey
3 : 0
Jerez CF
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Sp. Villanueva

(Away)
13 May
Sp. Villanueva
0 : 1
Melilla
06 May
Almeria B
1 : 0
Sp. Villanueva
29 Apr
Sp. Villanueva
0 : 1
Roquetas
22 Apr
Ecija
1 : 0
Sp. Villanueva
15 Apr
Sp. Villanueva
0 : 1
Lucena
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Villanovense38296383:3093
2Sp. Villanueva38295481:2492
3Arroyo382010862:3670
4Jerez CF3818101061:3264
5Merida UD3815131048:3258
6Santa Amalia3815111255:4956
7Don Benito381681448:4756
8Moralo3814121247:4554
9Miajadas381591438:4154
10Sanvicenteno3813121347:3951
11Ciduad de Plasencia381471741:4749
12Diter Zafra3813101545:5049
13UP Plasencia3811141339:4847
14CD Coria3812111542:5247
15Atletico San Jose Promesas381281852:6144
16UD Badajoz381262053:6842
17Valdelacalzada381091938:5239
18CD Santa Marta38982134:5835
19Olivenza CP386122039:7230
20Imperio Merida38533028:9818
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)