Sport Picks

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Jerusalem FC vs FC Dimona

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Schwartz M.
40' Event
Adi T.
68' Event
Elimelech O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South game between Jerusalem FC and FC Dimona finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerusalem FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Jerusalem FC
20%
Draws
38%
FC Dimona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Dimona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Jerusalem FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%
FC Dimona Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerusalem FC FC Dimona
Matches Played 22 23
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs FC Dimona
4:1
Nov 3, 2025 Liga Alef South
FC Dimona vs Jerusalem FC
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs FC Dimona
0:3
Dec 19, 2024 Liga Alef South
FC Dimona vs Jerusalem FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerusalem FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Schwartz M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Elimelech O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Dimona Compare

Top Goalscorer Adi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerusalem FC 42 / 100
FC Dimona 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerusalem FC FC Dimona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerusalem FC scored in 82% of their last 22 games.

FC Dimona let in goals in 65% of their last 23 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Jerusalem FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jerusalem FC VS FC Dimona
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerusalem FC

(Home)
27 Feb
Jerusalem FC
4 : 1
FC Dimona
20 Feb
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
13 Feb
Jerusalem FC
3 : 3
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
06 Feb
H. Herzliya
1 : 5
Jerusalem FC
30 Jan
Jerusalem FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Page 1 of 5

FC Dimona

(Away)
27 Feb
Jerusalem FC
4 : 1
FC Dimona
19 Feb
FC Dimona
2 : 1
Tzeirei Tira
13 Feb
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 2
FC Dimona
06 Feb
FC Dimona
0 : 1
Kfar Saba 1928
30 Jan
Maccabi Yavne
4 : 1
FC Dimona
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kiryat Gat21174053:1855
2Jerusalem FC22114745:2937
3FC Dimona22114729:3037
4Maccabi Yavne22106642:2836
5Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi22105727:2735
6Tzeirei Tira21103833:2433
7Shimshon Tel Aviv2286828:2830
8Beitar Yavne22931027:3430
9Kfar Saba 19282278728:3129
10Holon Yermiyahu22661030:3324
11Hapoel Marmorek22661020:3424
12Hapoel Azor2158817:2023
13H. Herzliya22571022:3622
14Ramat Hasharon22551224:4319
15Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2177737:3516
16Beitar Nordia Jerusalem22361328:4015
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)