Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef South

Kfar Saba 1928

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jerusalem FC play Kfar Saba 1928 in the Liga Alef South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jerusalem FC averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Kfar Saba 1928 averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. In past meetings, Jerusalem FC won 1, Kfar Saba 1928 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 27, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Jerusalem FC and 0.32 for Kfar Saba 1928. This points to a Jerusalem FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Jerusalem FC

26%

Draws

31%

Kfar Saba 1928

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Jerusalem FC picked up more points recently compared to Kfar Saba 1928.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.32 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 33%

Kfar Saba 1928 Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jerusalem FC	Kfar Saba 1928
Matches Played	23	24
Wins	11	8
Draws	4	8
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	2.13	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.26	1.46
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Liga Alef South

Jerusalem FC vs Kfar Saba 1928

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Dec 12, 2025 Liga Alef South

Kfar Saba 1928 vs Jerusalem FC

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerusalem FC 45 / 100

Kfar Saba 1928 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jerusalem FC Kfar Saba 1928

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jerusalem FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jerusalem FC attacking → ← attacking Kfar Saba 1928

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerusalem FC scored in 83% of their last 23 games.

Kfar Saba 1928 let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jerusalem FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kfar Saba 1928 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 32

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	53:18	55
2	Jerusalem FC	22	11	4	7	45:29	37
3	FC Dimona	22	11	4	7	29:30	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	42:28	36
5	Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	27:27	35
6	Tzeirei Tira	21	10	3	8	33:24	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	28:28	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	27:34	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	28:31	29
10	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	30:33	24
11	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	20:34	24
12	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	17:20	23
13	H. Herzliya	22	5	7	10	22:36	22
14	Ramat Hasharon	22	5	5	12	24:43	19
15	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	37:35	16
16	Beitar Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	28:40	15