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Jerusalem FC vs Kfar Saba 1928

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2025/2026
Fri, Mar 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jerusalem FC host Kfar Saba 1928 in the Liga Alef South 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Jerusalem FC at 1.95 goals for, 1.18 against; Kfar Saba 1928 at 1.19 for, 1.67 against. Head-to-head, Jerusalem FC have won 2 to Kfar Saba 1928's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.38 xG vs 0.44) point toward Jerusalem FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Jerusalem FC
20%
Draws
17%
Kfar Saba 1928
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerusalem FC lately — more wins on the board than Kfar Saba 1928.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Jerusalem FC taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jerusalem FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%
Kfar Saba 1928 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerusalem FC Kfar Saba 1928
Matches Played 22 21
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.95 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Alef South
Kfar Saba 1928 vs Jerusalem FC
1:2
Mar 27, 2026 Liga Alef South
Jerusalem FC vs Kfar Saba 1928
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Liga Alef South
Kfar Saba 1928 vs Jerusalem FC
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerusalem FC 49 / 100
Kfar Saba 1928 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerusalem FC Kfar Saba 1928

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerusalem FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerusalem FC scored in 82% of their last 22 games.

Kfar Saba 1928 let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Recent resilience: Jerusalem FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Jerusalem FC VS Kfar Saba 1928
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerusalem FC

(Home)
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
04 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
27 Feb
Jerusalem FC
4 : 1
FC Dimona
Page 1 of 5

Kfar Saba 1928

(Away)
24 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Kfar Saba 1928
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Ironi Beit Shemesh
1 : 4
Kfar Saba 1928
04 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
1 : 2
Jerusalem FC
27 Feb
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 4
Maccabi Yavne
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kiryat Gat 21 17 4 0 53:18 55
2 Jerusalem FC 22 11 4 7 45:29 37
3 FC Dimona 22 11 4 7 29:30 37
4 Maccabi Yavne 22 10 6 6 42:28 36
5 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 22 10 5 7 27:27 35
6 Tzeirei Tira 21 10 3 8 33:24 33
7 Shimshon Tel Aviv 22 8 6 8 28:28 30
8 Beitar Yavne 22 9 3 10 27:34 30
9 Kfar Saba 1928 22 7 8 7 28:31 29
10 Holon Yermiyahu 22 6 6 10 30:33 24
11 Hapoel Marmorek 22 6 6 10 20:34 24
12 Hapoel Azor 21 5 8 8 17:20 23
13 H. Herzliya 22 5 7 10 22:36 22
14 Ramat Hasharon 22 5 5 12 24:43 19
15 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 21 7 7 7 37:35 16
16 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 22 3 6 13 28:40 15
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)