Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerv vs Lysekloster

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr, Grimstad
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ovreberg T. V.
27'
Mvuka B.
31'
Nordbo S.

AI Match Summary

Lysekloster in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lysekloster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Jerv
15%
Draws
0%
Lysekloster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jerv lately — more wins on the board than Lysekloster.
  • Jerv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lysekloster here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Jerv Clean Sheet 68%
Lysekloster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerv Lysekloster
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Lysekloster
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Lysekloster
0:1
Jun 29, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Lysekloster vs Jerv
3:0
Sep 7, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Lysekloster vs Jerv
3:0
Jun 23, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Lysekloster
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerv Compare

Top Goalscorer Alanko S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Lysekloster Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovreberg T. V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerv 95 / 100
Lysekloster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerv Lysekloster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jerv scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lysekloster conceded in 96% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Lysekloster registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jerv VS Lysekloster
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerv

(Home)
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Jerv
3 : 1
Brattvag
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Jerv
1 : 0
Pors
22 Aug
Fram
1 : 2
Jerv
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Lysekloster

(Away)
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
OS TF
2 : 0
Lysekloster
15 Aug
Lysekloster
0 : 1
Kvik Halden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 19 14 3 2 41:18 45
2 Sotra 19 11 3 5 41:17 36
3 Brattvag 19 11 3 5 38:23 36
4 Bjarg 19 11 2 6 36:25 35
5 Mjondalen 19 11 2 6 33:26 35
6 Notodden 19 9 5 5 26:15 32
7 Kvik Halden 19 9 4 6 28:22 31
8 Traeff 19 8 6 5 35:30 30
9 Arendal 19 7 5 7 27:30 26
10 Pors 19 5 5 9 20:27 20
11 Sandviken 19 5 4 10 29:42 19
12 Lysekloster 19 3 5 11 21:40 14
13 Eik-Tonsberg 19 2 1 16 20:44 7
14 Vidar 19 1 4 14 17:53 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)