Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jerv vs Mjondalen

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr, Grimstad
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Aalberg I. H. In: Bringaker M.
Out: Aalberg I. H.
34' Event
Syvertsen P.
37'
Kristiansen E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Jerv and Mjondalen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jerv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Jerv
20%
Draws
38%
Mjondalen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jerv come out ahead of Mjondalen on wins alone.
  • Jerv are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Jerv Clean Sheet 16%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jerv Mjondalen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Mjondalen
1:0
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Jerv vs Mjondalen
3:4
Nov 30, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Jerv vs Mjondalen
1:3
Nov 24, 2024 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Jerv
2:1
Aug 23, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Mjondalen vs Jerv
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jerv Compare

Top Goalscorer Syvertsen P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mjondalen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jerv 41 / 100
Mjondalen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jerv Mjondalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerv scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Mjondalen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Jerv stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jerv VS Mjondalen
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jerv

(Home)
28 Jun
Sotra
1 : 3
Jerv
21 Jun
Brattvag
1 : 2
Jerv
14 Jun
Jerv
2 : 1
Sandviken
31 May
Notodden
0 : 0
Jerv
23 May
Jerv
2 : 1
Kvik Halden
Page 1 of 6

Mjondalen

(Away)
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
13 Jun
Mjondalen
3 : 3
Kvik Halden
31 May
Pors
1 : 0
Mjondalen
23 May
Mjondalen
4 : 0
Sandviken
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jerv12102025:1032
2Brattvag1281322:925
3Kvik Halden1273222:1324
4Mjondalen1272322:1523
5Bjarg1271422:1922
6Sotra1253424:1318
7Notodden1253419:1118
8Traeff1244423:2116
9Pors1243514:1715
10Arendal1225514:2011
11Lysekloster1225515:2411
12Sandviken1232711:2211
13Eik-Tonsberg1211108:264
14Vidar120399:303
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)