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Jesenice vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Zorica J.
76' Event
Bakti B.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Jesenice and Nafta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Jesenice
40%
Draws
29%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Jesenice haven't matched Nafta's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 10%
Nafta Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenice Nafta
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.71 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.71 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.71 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Nafta
0:2
Sep 20, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs Jesenice
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorica J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakti B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenice 30 / 100
Nafta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenice Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Nafta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Difficult form: Nafta registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Jesenice scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Jesenice VS Nafta
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
2.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenice

(Home)
23 May
Jesenice
0 : 1
Dravinja
15 May
NK Krka
3 : 2
Jesenice
10 May
Jesenice
2 : 1
Rudar
07 May
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
Jesenice
30 Apr
Jesenice
0 : 3
Triglav
Page 1 of 6

Nafta

(Away)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)