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Jesenik vs HFK Olomouc

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Olomoucky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

HFK Olomouc in this Olomoucky KP 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored HFK Olomouc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Jesenik
15%
Draws
41%
HFK Olomouc
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to HFK Olomouc lately — more wins on the board than Jesenik.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Jesenik Clean Sheet 10%
HFK Olomouc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesenik HFK Olomouc
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.17 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Olomoucky KP
Jesenik vs HFK Olomouc
2:4
Oct 25, 2025 Olomoucky KP
HFK Olomouc vs Jesenik
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesenik 34 / 100
HFK Olomouc 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesenik HFK Olomouc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFK Olomouc Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jesenik scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Jesenik has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

HFK Olomouc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jesenik VS HFK Olomouc
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesenik

(Home)
05 Sept
Jesenik
4 : 2
Postrelmov
29 Aug
Lostice
0 : 2
Jesenik
22 Aug
Jesenik
3 : 0
Mohelnice
15 Aug
Prerov
2 : 2
Jesenik
08 Aug
Jesenik
2 : 0
Unicov B
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HFK Olomouc

(Away)
05 Sept
Belotin
4 : 1
HFK Olomouc
29 Aug
HFK Olomouc
5 : 0
Olesnice u Bouzova
22 Aug
Litovel
0 : 3
HFK Olomouc
15 Aug
HFK Olomouc
6 : 0
Zelatovice
08 Aug
Slavonin
0 : 1
HFK Olomouc
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