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Jesina vs Porto Sant'Elpidio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Maio F.
68'
Perini F.
68'
Perini F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2019/2020 game between Jesina and Porto Sant'Elpidio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porto Sant'Elpidio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Jesina
20%
Draws
70%
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Porto Sant'Elpidio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jesina Clean Sheet 20%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jesina Porto Sant'Elpidio
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 3 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.09 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Jesina vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
0:1
Oct 26, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Jesina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jesina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare

Top Goalscorer Maio F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jesina 32 / 100
Porto Sant'Elpidio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jesina Porto Sant'Elpidio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Sant'Elpidio let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Jesina scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Jesina has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Porto Sant'Elpidio
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jesina

(Home)
01 Mar
Jesina
0 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 Feb
Matelica
3 : 0
Jesina
16 Feb
Jesina
1 : 1
Pineto
09 Feb
Vastese
2 : 1
Jesina
02 Feb
Jesina
0 : 1
Avezzano
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Porto Sant'Elpidio

(Away)
19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2
Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
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