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Jeunesse Canach vs Wiltz Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2024/2025
Jeunesse Canach Logo

Jeunesse Canach

Wed, Mar 12, 2025
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Wiltz Logo

Wiltz

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cavagnera A.
90' Event
Mortas P.
97' Event
Gorny V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Wiltz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Jeunesse Canach
15%
Draws
36%
Wiltz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jeunesse Canach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wiltz come out ahead of Jeunesse Canach on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jeunesse Canach's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Wiltz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wiltz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Jeunesse Canach Clean Sheet 14%
Wiltz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeunesse Canach Wiltz
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.06 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Jeunesse Canach
1:2
Mar 12, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
Jeunesse Canach vs Wiltz
1:2
Oct 29, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Jeunesse Canach vs Wiltz
4:3
May 27, 2016 BGL Ligue
Wiltz vs Jeunesse Canach
0:1
Mar 22, 2015 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs Wiltz
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeunesse Canach Compare

Top Goalscorer Mortas P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wiltz Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavagnera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorny V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeunesse Canach 39 / 100
Wiltz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeunesse Canach Wiltz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeunesse Canach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wiltz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Jeunesse Canach's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Wiltz's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jeunesse Canach VS Wiltz
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeunesse Canach

(Home)
18 Sept
SC Ell
1 : 4
Jeunesse Canach
26 Jul
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Jun
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
23 May
FC Mamer
0 : 0
Jeunesse Canach
17 May
Jeunesse Canach
0 : 5
Bissen
Page 1 of 7

Wiltz

(Away)
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6
Wiltz
16 Sept
Bissen
4 : 2
Wiltz
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Jeunesse Esch
5 : 1
Wiltz
30 Aug
Wiltz
1 : 2
Dudelange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lintgen 1
Bissen 0
Echternach 3
Ettelbruck 2
The Belval Belvaux 5
US Sandweiler 0
Clemency 0
Mondorf 4
Oberkorn 0
Racing Luxembourg 1
Steinfort 0
Hesperange 3
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 2
US Moutfort/Medingen 1
Bettembourg 4
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
Luxembourg City 2
FC Orania Vianden 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 3
Koeppchen 2
Syra Mensdorf 2
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
US Feulen 1
FC Schengen 1
Hostert 5
Union Tetange 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
UNA Strassen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
FC Mamer 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Schifflange 3
FC Ehlerange 1
Fola 3
Mertzig 2
Union Titus Petange 4
Pfaffenthal 1
Kaerjeng 2
Jeunesse Useldange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Alliance Aischdall 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Differdange 14
AS Luxembourg/Porto 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Schieren 1
FC Rodange 91 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 1
Mondercange 6
Izeg 0
Wiltz 4
Diekirch 1
FC Residence Walferdange 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
Jeunesse Esch 7
US Folschette 0
Rumelange 6
Red Boys Aspelt 0
Progres Niedercorn 8
1/16-finals
Lintgen 2
Echternach 1
The Belval Belvaux 1
Mondorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
Bettembourg 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 3
FC Orania Vianden 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
Dudelange 3
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Hostert 4
Union Tetange 0
UNA Strassen 8
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Schifflange 0
Fola 1
Union Titus Petange 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Differdange 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
FC Rodange 91 0
Mondercange 1
Wiltz 6
FC Residence Walferdange 0
Jeunesse Esch 1
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
1/8-finals
Lintgen 2
The Belval Belvaux 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Victoria Rosport 1
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Dudelange 4
Hostert 1
UNA Strassen 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 2
Union Titus Petange 7
Kaerjeng 0
Differdange 4
Jeunesse Canach 1
Wiltz 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Quarter-finals
Lintgen 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Dudelange 4
UNA Strassen 2
Union Titus Petange 0
Differdange 2
Wiltz 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Semi-finals
Racing Luxembourg 2
Dudelange 3
Differdange 3
Wiltz 0
Final
Dudelange 2
Differdange 3