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Jeunesse Massira vs Union Touarga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Bouelainine H.
9' Event
El Filali H.
(Penalty)
32'
Ghazouan A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Jeunesse Massira
35%
Draws
38%
Union Touarga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Touarga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Jeunesse Massira have managed 0.96 goals a game lately — Union Touarga are scoring more at 1.17.
  • Win probability leans Union Touarga's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Jeunesse Massira Clean Sheet 16%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jeunesse Massira Union Touarga
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Jeunesse Massira
3:0
Jul 17, 2026 Botola Pro
Jeunesse Massira vs Union Touarga
1:1
Feb 4, 2022 Botola 2
Union Touarga vs Jeunesse Massira
3:2
Sep 24, 2021 Botola 2
Jeunesse Massira vs Union Touarga
1:1
Feb 11, 2006 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Jeunesse Massira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jeunesse Massira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Arjoune O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jeunesse Massira 19 / 100
Union Touarga 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jeunesse Massira Union Touarga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Touarga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Touarga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Jeunesse Massira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jeunesse Massira's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jeunesse Massira VS Union Touarga
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jeunesse Massira

(Home)
04 Oct
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
0 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
27 Sept
Jeunesse Massira
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
05 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
3 : 1
Raja Beni Mellal
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Union Touarga

(Away)
08 Oct
Union Touarga
0 : 0
Berkane
02 Oct
Widad Temara
0 : 1
Union Touarga
26 Sept
Union Touarga
2 : 1
FUS Rabat
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dcheira 1
Amal Tiznit 1
Jeunesse Massira 1
Union Touarga 4