Sport Picks

Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Pod Racinom

Mornar Bar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jezero host Mornar Bar in the Prva Crnogorska Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Mornar Bar have shipped 0.38 goals a game lately, while Jezero have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Mornar Bar slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.44, favoring Mornar Bar. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Jezero

40%

Draws

29%

Mornar Bar

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Jezero haven't matched Mornar Bar's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Mornar Bar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Jezero Clean Sheet 16%

Mornar Bar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Jezero	Mornar Bar
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	13	18
Draws	6	7
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga

Jezero vs Mornar Bar

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

May 6, 2026 Montenegrin Cup

Jezero vs Mornar Bar

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Apr 22, 2026 Montenegrin Cup

Mornar Bar vs Jezero

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Apr 4, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga

Mornar Bar vs Jezero

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Dec 6, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga

Jezero vs Mornar Bar

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jezero 31 / 100

Mornar Bar 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Jezero Mornar Bar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jezero scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Jezero remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mornar Bar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Jezero VS Mornar Bar

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	Buducnost	0:0
2	Decic	0:0
3	Jezero	0:0
4	Petrovac	0:0
5	Sutjeska	0:0
6	Mornar Bar	0:0
7	Bokelj	0:0
8	Arsenal Tivat	0:0
9	Otrant	0:0
10	Mladost DG	0:0