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Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Pod Racinom, Plav
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Petovic G.
20' Event
Raicevic M.
(Penalty)
24'
Nishimura A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga game between Jezero and Arsenal Tivat finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jezero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Jezero
20%
Draws
30%
Arsenal Tivat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jezero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal Tivat come out ahead of Jezero on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Prva Crnogorska Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Jezero here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Jezero Clean Sheet 19%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jezero Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.11 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat
5:2
May 2, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero
1:2
Feb 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Arsenal Tivat vs Jezero
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Jezero vs Arsenal Tivat
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jezero Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovanovic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nishimura A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukcevic I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jezero 32 / 100
Arsenal Tivat 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jezero Arsenal Tivat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal Tivat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Arsenal Tivat conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Jezero has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Arsenal Tivat has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jezero VS Arsenal Tivat
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jezero

(Home)
08 Oct
Mornar Bar
3 : 3
Jezero
20 Sept
Otrant
4 : 1
Jezero
15 Sept
Jezero
1 : 1
Bokelj
10 Sept
Buducnost
3 : 0
Jezero
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
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Arsenal Tivat

(Away)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
14 Sept
Petrovac
1 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Jezero
5 : 2
Arsenal Tivat
30 Aug
Arsenal Tivat
1 : 2
Otrant
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
2 Buducnost 10 4 3 3 11:7 15
3 Sutjeska 10 4 3 3 11:7 15
4 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
5 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Mornar Bar 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
7 Mladost DG 10 3 2 5 10:17 11
8 Jezero 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)