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JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

JFK Ventspils play Alberts JDFS in the Nakotnes liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, JFK Ventspils averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Alberts JDFS averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, JFK Ventspils won 0, Alberts JDFS won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 5, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for JFK Ventspils and 1.88 for Alberts JDFS. This points to a Alberts JDFS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
JFK Ventspils
24%
Draws
53%
Alberts JDFS
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • JFK Ventspils picked up more points recently compared to Alberts JDFS.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils Alberts JDFS
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.29 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs JFK Ventspils
2:0
May 25, 2025 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs JFK Ventspils
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
0:2
Oct 28, 2023 Nakotnes liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 23 / 100
Alberts JDFS 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils Alberts JDFS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alberts JDFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Alberts JDFS & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

JFK Ventspils attacking → ← attacking Alberts JDFS

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JFK Ventspils scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Alberts JDFS let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

JFK Ventspils went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alberts JDFS lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 54
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Metta12101142:1131
2Valmiera1292132:1229
3Riga Mariners1284025:1028
4Leevon PPK1273220:1524
5Alberts JDFS1262425:2020
6Marupe1261522:1519
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1141620:2113
10RFS 21223715:269
11Tukums 2000 21222816:318
12JFK Ventspils1114612:207
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334