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JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Kalpaks J.
Assist: Kramens K.
70' Event
Andersons L.
Assist: Bullat K.
71' Event
Prohorenkovs M.
Assist: Jassey S.

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alberts JDFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
JFK Ventspils
15%
Draws
59%
Alberts JDFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alberts JDFS lately — more wins on the board than JFK Ventspils.
  • Model gives Alberts JDFS a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alberts JDFS have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils Alberts JDFS
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
1:3
Oct 5, 2025 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs JFK Ventspils
2:0
May 25, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs JFK Ventspils
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Alberts JDFS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersons L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalpaks J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prohorenkovs M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
Alberts JDFS 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils Alberts JDFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alberts JDFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: JFK Ventspils scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Alberts JDFS has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: JFK Ventspils remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS Alberts JDFS
1 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

JFK Ventspils

(Home)
26 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 0
JFK Ventspils
20 Sept
JFK Ventspils
1 : 0
Skanste
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
Page 1 of 6

Alberts JDFS

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 22 18 3 1 93:17 57
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 22 14 5 3 50:27 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 22 10 2 10 37:34 32
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 22 4 3 15 36:65 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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