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JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Krums R.
22' Event
Lengvenis M.
43' Event
Korzans R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
JFK Ventspils
20%
Draws
74%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Leevon PPK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leevon PPK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Leevon PPK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Leevon PPK, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
JFK Ventspils Clean Sheet 10%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric JFK Ventspils Leevon PPK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Latvian Cup
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK
1:3
May 23, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs JFK Ventspils
3:2
Jul 19, 2025 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 1. Liga
JFK Ventspils vs Leevon PPK
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

JFK Ventspils Compare

Top Goalscorer Lengvenis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Korzans R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Krums R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

JFK Ventspils 10 / 100
Leevon PPK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
JFK Ventspils Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

JFK Ventspils scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Leevon PPK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: JFK Ventspils stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

JFK Ventspils VS Leevon PPK
1 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

JFK Ventspils

(Home)
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
RFS 2
4 : 1
JFK Ventspils
29 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 1
Riga FC 2
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Super Nova 2
02 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

Leevon PPK

(Away)
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -