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Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ji-Parana play CA Rondoniense in the Rondoniense. Ji-Parana are favorites here. Recently, Ji-Parana averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. CA Rondoniense averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Ji-Parana won 2, CA Rondoniense won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ji-Parana and 1.00 for CA Rondoniense. This points to a Ji-Parana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ji-Parana
25%
Draws
15%
CA Rondoniense
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ji-Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ji-Parana picked up more points recently compared to CA Rondoniense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 23%
CA Rondoniense Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ji-Parana CA Rondoniense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.34 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 Rondoniense
CA Rondoniense vs Ji-Parana
0:1
Feb 1, 2026 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
1:0
Mar 26, 2023 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs CA Rondoniense
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ji-Parana 59 / 100
CA Rondoniense 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ji-Parana CA Rondoniense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ji-Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ji-Parana & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ji-Parana attacking → ← attacking CA Rondoniense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ji-Parana scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

CA Rondoniense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Ji-Parana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CA Rondoniense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 27
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ji-Parana1293023:130
2Porto Velho1283123:1027
3Guapore1264219:1122
4CA Rondoniense1253415:1118
5Barcelona RO1231812:2310
6Genus122378:189
7Uniao Cacoalense1201116:321