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Ji-Parana vs Guajara

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 game between Ji-Parana and Guajara finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ji-Parana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ji-Parana
30%
Draws
0%
Guajara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ji-Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ji-Parana come out ahead of Guajara on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ji-Parana a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 20%
Guajara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ji-Parana Guajara
Matches Played 41 35
Wins 19 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.37 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2018 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Guajara
2:3
Mar 3, 2018 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Ji-Parana
1:0
May 14, 2017 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Guajara
5:0
Apr 1, 2017 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Ji-Parana
3:1
Jun 5, 2016 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Ji-Parana
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ji-Parana 85 / 100
Guajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ji-Parana Guajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ji-Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Guajara has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guajara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

Ji-Parana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ji-Parana VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ji-Parana

(Home)
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Ji-Parana
3 : 0
Genus
09 Mar
Guapore
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
05 Mar
Porto Velho
0 : 0
Ji-Parana
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Guajara

(Away)
15 Mar
Guajara
0 : 3
Genus
14 Mar
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Guajara
08 Mar
Guajara
0 : 1
Real Ariquemes
23 Feb
CA Rondoniense
3 : 0
Guajara
15 Feb
Genus
2 : 0
Guajara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genus 7 6 0 1 16:6 18
2 CA Rondoniense 7 5 2 0 17:4 17
3 Real Ariquemes 7 4 2 1 10:4 14
4 Ariquemes FC 7 3 0 4 8:9 9
5 Guajara 7 1 3 3 8:13 6
6 Ji-Parana 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
7 Rolim de Moura 7 1 2 4 7:15 5
8 Morumbi FC 7 0 3 4 7:16 3
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 (First stage - Play Offs)