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Ji-Parana vs Vilhena

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Campeonato Rondoniense 2017
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 game between Ji-Parana and Vilhena finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ji-Parana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Ji-Parana
35%
Draws
9%
Vilhena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ji-Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Ji-Parana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ji-Parana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ji-Parana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ji-Parana Clean Sheet 20%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ji-Parana Vilhena
Matches Played 45 33
Wins 21 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.69 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Vilhena
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Ji-Parana
0:3
Apr 7, 2024 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Vilhena
0:2
Mar 3, 2024 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Ji-Parana
0:1
Apr 12, 2018 Rondoniense
Ji-Parana vs Vilhena
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ji-Parana 85 / 100
Vilhena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ji-Parana Vilhena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ji-Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vilhena conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Ji-Parana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Vilhena registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ji-Parana VS Vilhena
1 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 4.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ji-Parana

(Home)
18 Mar
Ji-Parana
0 : 1
CA Rondoniense
15 Mar
CA Rondoniense
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
12 Mar
Ji-Parana
3 : 0
Genus
09 Mar
Guapore
1 : 1
Ji-Parana
05 Mar
Porto Velho
0 : 0
Ji-Parana
Page 1 of 9

Vilhena

(Away)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona RO 14 9 3 2 21:9 30
2 Real Ariquemes 14 7 7 0 18:7 28
3 Vilhena 14 6 4 4 18:14 22
4 Genus 14 4 7 3 18:13 19
5 Ariquemes FC 14 3 8 3 23:15 17
6 CA Rondoniense 14 4 5 5 18:20 17
7 Ji-Parana 14 3 3 8 21:25 12
8 Guajara 14 1 1 12 9:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 (Play Offs)