Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jiangxi Lushan vs Dalian Kun City

China China

FA Cup Ruichang Sports Park Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jiangxi Lushan play Dalian Kun City in the FA Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jiangxi Lushan averaged 1.54 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. Dalian Kun City averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Jiangxi Lushan won 1, Dalian Kun City won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Jiangxi Lushan and 1.06 for Dalian Kun City. This points to a Jiangxi Lushan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Jiangxi Lushan
24%
Draws
29%
Dalian Kun City
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Jiangxi Lushan picked up more points recently compared to Dalian Kun City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 22%
Dalian Kun City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Dalian Kun City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.54 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 FA Cup
Jiangxi Lushan vs Dalian Kun City
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Yanjun
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pi Ziyang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dalian Kun City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 47 / 100
Dalian Kun City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Dalian Kun City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jiangxi Lushan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jiangxi Lushan attacking → ← attacking Dalian Kun City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Dalian Kun City let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Jiangxi Lushan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dalian Kun City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 36
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88