Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jiangxi Lushan vs Dalian Kewei - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Ruichang Sports Park Stadium, Jiujiang
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Sub
Yang Pengju In: Wang Hongbin
Out: Yang Pengju
39'
Zhang Yanjun
46'
Sub
Zhang Zhen In: Yao Xuchen
Out: Zhang Zhen

AI Match Summary

Dalian Kewei in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dalian Kewei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Jiangxi Lushan
15%
Draws
53%
Dalian Kewei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dalian Kewei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Dalian Kewei have won more games recently than Jiangxi Lushan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 23%
Dalian Kewei Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Dalian Kewei
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Dalian Kewei
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dalian Kewei Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Xianbing
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 33 / 100
Dalian Kewei 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Dalian Kewei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dalian Kewei Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Dalian Kewei conceded in 38% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Jiangxi Lushan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jiangxi Lushan VS Dalian Kewei
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jiangxi Lushan

(Home)
07 Oct
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
18 Sept
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
Page 1 of 6

Dalian Kewei

(Away)
07 Oct
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
12 Sept
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
22 Aug
Changchun Xidu
2 : 1
Dalian Kewei
15 Aug
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Taian Tiankuang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shanghai Port B 25 14 4 7 40:21 46
2 Guizhou Guiyang 25 14 3 8 34:20 45
3 Shandong Taishan B 25 13 6 6 36:23 45
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 25 13 5 7 30:18 44
5 Dalian Kewei 25 11 11 3 24:14 44
6 Shenzhen 2028 25 11 8 6 38:27 41
7 Jiangxi Lushan 25 11 5 9 27:22 38
8 Hangzhou Linping 25 8 12 5 25:30 36
Promotion - League One 2027 (Main)