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Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Ruichang Sports Park Stadium, Jiujiang
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Tian Li
46'
Sub
Sun Chenxi In: Xin Hongjun
Out: Sun Chenxi
46'
Sub
Zhu Xinyu In: Li Ming
Out: Zhu Xinyu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jiangxi Lushan
20%
Draws
46%
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jiangxi Lushan lately — more wins on the board than Guangdong Mingtu.
  • Model gives Jiangxi Lushan a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Guangdong Mingtu
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.24 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:0
Apr 30, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 51 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Guangdong Mingtu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Guangdong Mingtu let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Jiangxi Lushan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Jiangxi Lushan VS Guangdong Mingtu
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Jiangxi Lushan

(Home)
07 Oct
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
18 Sept
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
Page 1 of 6

Guangdong Mingtu

(Away)
06 Oct
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 1
Dalian Yingbo B
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)