Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu

China China

League Two Ruichang Sports Park Stadium, Jiujiang
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Tian Li
46'
Sub
Sun Chenxi In: Xin Hongjun
Out: Sun Chenxi
46'
Sub
Zhu Xinyu In: Li Ming
Out: Zhu Xinyu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jiangxi Lushan
33%
Draws
27%
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jiangxi Lushan lately — more wins on the board than Guangdong Mingtu.
  • Model gives Jiangxi Lushan a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Guangdong Mingtu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:0
Apr 30, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 50 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Guangdong Mingtu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Guangdong Mingtu let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Jiangxi Lushan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Jiangxi Lushan VS Guangdong Mingtu
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Jiangxi Lushan

(Home)
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
08 Jul
Hangzhou Linping
2 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
05 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
1 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
28 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
24 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Ganzhou Ruishi
Page 1 of 6

Guangdong Mingtu

(Away)
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
11 Jul
Guangdong Mingtu
2 : 2
Shenzhen 2028
04 Jul
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2
Guangdong Mingtu
27 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
23 Jun
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B17112425:1435
2Shanghai Port B16104229:1034
3Dalian Kewei1778214:829
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1683522:1527
5Taian Tiankuang1674517:1425
6Dalian Yingbo B1649315:1421
7Qingdao Red Lions1738614:1617
8Nantong Haimen1629516:1615
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic152945:1015
10Changchun Xidu162868:2014
11Shanghai Second1726916:3012
12Beijing Technology1516811:259
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang16101523:1331
2Shenzhen 20281786328:2130
3Hubei Istar1685325:1729
4Ganzhou Ruishi1767417:1525
5Xiamen Feilu1667324:1725
6Jiangxi Lushan1674519:1425
7Hangzhou Linping1749416:2321
8Guangzhou Dandelion1754818:2319
9Guangdong Mingtu1739517:1918
10Wenzhou Professional1636711:1915
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1736810:1815
12Wuhan Three Towns B161699:189
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)