Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangzhou Dandelion

China China

League Two Ruichang Sports Park Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Yang Pengju
Assist: Li Jiahao
33' Event
Sun Yue
46'
Sub
Wang Junyang In: Murathan Ares
Out: Wang Junyang

AI Match Summary

Jiangxi Lushan in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jiangxi Lushan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Jiangxi Lushan
28%
Draws
22%
Guangzhou Dandelion
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jiangxi Lushan lately — more wins on the board than Guangzhou Dandelion.
  • Jiangxi Lushan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%
Guangzhou Dandelion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Guangzhou Dandelion
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangzhou Dandelion
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Jiangxi Lushan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Pengju
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sun Yue
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Guangzhou Dandelion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 59 / 100
Guangzhou Dandelion 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Guangzhou Dandelion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Guangzhou Dandelion has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Guangzhou Dandelion has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jiangxi Lushan VS Guangzhou Dandelion
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179