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Stadium Background

Jiangxi Lushan vs Shanghai Port B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Ruichang Sports Park Stadium, Jiujiang
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jiangxi Lushan host Shanghai Port B in the League Two. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Jiangxi Lushan have averaged 1.24 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Shanghai Port B's 1.5 scored and 0.82 conceded. Past meetings favor Jiangxi Lushan slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.06, favoring Shanghai Port B. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Jiangxi Lushan
15%
Draws
51%
Shanghai Port B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shanghai Port B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Shanghai Port B have won more games recently than Jiangxi Lushan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Jiangxi Lushan have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 20%
Shanghai Port B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Shanghai Port B
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Shanghai Port B vs Jiangxi Lushan
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 League Two
Shanghai Port B vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Shanghai Port B
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 32 / 100
Shanghai Port B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Shanghai Port B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shanghai Port B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Shanghai Port B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Jiangxi Lushan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Jiangxi Lushan VS Shanghai Port B
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jiangxi Lushan

(Home)
07 Oct
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
18 Sept
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
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Shanghai Port B

(Away)
06 Oct
Guizhou Guiyang
2 : 1
Shanghai Port B
19 Sept
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 2
Shanghai Port B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
22 Aug
Shanghai Port B
2 : 0
Qingdao Red Lions
15 Aug
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
1 : 0
Shanghai Port B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shanghai Port B 25 14 4 7 40:21 46
2 Guizhou Guiyang 25 14 3 8 34:20 45
3 Shandong Taishan B 25 13 6 6 36:23 45
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 25 13 5 7 30:18 44
5 Dalian Kewei 25 11 11 3 24:14 44
6 Shenzhen 2028 25 11 8 6 38:27 41
7 Jiangxi Lushan 25 11 5 9 27:22 38
8 Hangzhou Linping 25 8 12 5 25:30 36
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