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Jiangxi Lushan vs Shenzhen 2028 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Ruichang Sports Park Stadium, Jiujiang
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Liu G. In: Cao Enze
Out: Liu G.
46'
Sub
Luo B. In: Zhu X.
Out: Luo B.
59' Event
Zhu X.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Jiangxi Lushan and Shenzhen 2028 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shenzhen 2028.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Jiangxi Lushan
20%
Draws
36%
Shenzhen 2028
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jiangxi Lushan come out ahead of Shenzhen 2028 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Jiangxi Lushan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen 2028 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jiangxi Lushan Shenzhen 2028
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Shenzhen 2028
1:2
May 5, 2026 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhu X.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Shenzhen 2028 Compare

Top Goalscorer Li L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Li P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jiangxi Lushan 51 / 100
Shenzhen 2028 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jiangxi Lushan Shenzhen 2028

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Jiangxi Lushan scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Shenzhen 2028 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Jiangxi Lushan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jiangxi Lushan VS Shenzhen 2028
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jiangxi Lushan

(Home)
07 Oct
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
18 Sept
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
Page 1 of 6

Shenzhen 2028

(Away)
06 Oct
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 2
Shandong Taishan B
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
23 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 1
Hubei Istar
16 Aug
Wenzhou Professional
1 : 1
Shenzhen 2028
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)