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Stadium Background

Jincheon vs Seosan Pioneer

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jincheon play Seosan Pioneer in the K4 League. Jincheon are favorites here. Recently, Jincheon averaged 2 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Seosan Pioneer averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Jincheon won 1, Seosan Pioneer won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Jincheon and 0.81 for Seosan Pioneer. This points to a Jincheon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jincheon
15%
Draws
15%
Seosan Pioneer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jincheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jincheon picked up more points recently compared to Seosan Pioneer.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Jincheon Clean Sheet 26%
Seosan Pioneer Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jincheon Seosan Pioneer
Matches Played 15 14
Wins 9 3
Draws 4 0
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 2 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 K4 League
Jincheon vs Seosan Pioneer
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jincheon 68 / 100
Seosan Pioneer 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jincheon Seosan Pioneer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jincheon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jincheon & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jincheon attacking → ← attacking Seosan Pioneer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jincheon scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Seosan Pioneer let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Jincheon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Seosan Pioneer lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 9
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1594230:1131
3Geumsan Insam1566325:1724
4Jecheon Citizen1566316:1724
5Seoul Jungnang1564524:1922
6Namyangju1555518:1920
7Pyeongchang United1562719:2120
8Sejong SA1462619:2320
9Geoje1453626:2118
10Gijang United1552819:2617
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369