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Jinju Citizen vs Geoje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Jinju Citizen and Geoje finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Jinju Citizen
30%
Draws
33%
Geoje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jinju Citizen come out ahead of Geoje on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jinju Citizen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinju Citizen Geoje
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Geoje
0:0
May 10, 2026 K4 League
Geoje vs Jinju Citizen
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinju Citizen 85 / 100
Geoje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinju Citizen Geoje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jinju Citizen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Geoje let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Jinju Citizen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jinju Citizen VS Geoje
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jinju Citizen

(Home)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Geoje

(Away)
03 Oct
Jinju Citizen
0 : 0
Geoje
19 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
0 : 2
Geoje
12 Sept
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 1
Geoje
15 Aug
Geoje
1 : 2
Pocheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 22 11 6 5 32:27 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 21 10 4 7 38:27 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
8 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
9 Gijang United 21 8 2 11 29:38 26
10 Sejong SA 21 8 2 11 30:47 26
11 Haman 20 6 2 12 23:35 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
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