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Jinju Citizen vs Geumsan Insam

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Jinju Citizen and Geumsan Insam finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jinju Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Jinju Citizen
30%
Draws
29%
Geumsan Insam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Jinju Citizen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinju Citizen Geumsan Insam
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 22 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.21 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 K4 League
Geumsan Insam vs Jinju Citizen
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Geumsan Insam
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinju Citizen 58 / 100
Geumsan Insam 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinju Citizen Geumsan Insam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jinju Citizen scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Geumsan Insam has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Jinju Citizen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jinju Citizen VS Geumsan Insam
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jinju Citizen

(Home)
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
19 Aug
Pohang
3 : 1
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Geumsan Insam

(Away)
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
23 Aug
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 3
Geumsan Insam
25 Jul
Geumsan Insam
1 : 3
Seoul Jungnang
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 20 16 2 2 50:16 50
2 Jincheon 20 11 5 4 38:20 38
3 Namyangju 21 10 6 5 30:26 36
4 Seoul Jungnang 20 10 4 6 38:23 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 21 7 7 7 26:31 28
7 Geoje 18 8 3 7 33:26 27
8 Pyeongchang United 20 8 2 10 27:31 26
9 Gijang United 20 8 2 10 28:36 26
10 Sejong SA 20 8 2 10 29:40 26
11 Haman 19 6 2 11 22:32 20
12 Seosan Pioneer 20 4 0 16 22:46 12
13 Pyeongtaek Citizen 20 2 5 13 20:44 11
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