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Jinju Citizen vs Geumsan Insam

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Jinju Citizen and Geumsan Insam finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jinju Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jinju Citizen
17%
Draws
13%
Geumsan Insam
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Jinju Citizen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 16%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinju Citizen Geumsan Insam
Matches Played 28 17
Wins 19 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Geumsan Insam
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinju Citizen 66 / 100
Geumsan Insam 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinju Citizen Geumsan Insam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jinju Citizen scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Geumsan Insam has conceded goals in 82% of their last 17 outings.

Jinju Citizen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Jinju Citizen VS Geumsan Insam
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Jinju Citizen

(Home)
15 Jul
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Jinju Citizen
04 Jul
Jinju Citizen
2 : 1
Sejong SA
27 Jun
Jinju Citizen
1 : 0
Seosan Pioneer
21 Jun
Jinju Citizen
2 : 1
Seoul Jungnang
06 Jun
Jinju Citizen
2 : 0
Jecheon Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Geumsan Insam

(Away)
11 Jul
Jecheon Citizen
1 : 2
Geumsan Insam
04 Jul
Changwon
3 : 0
Geumsan Insam
27 Jun
Haman
1 : 3
Geumsan Insam
21 Jun
Geumsan Insam
2 : 2
Jincheon
07 Jun
Pyeongchang United
1 : 1
Geumsan Insam
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon17104335:1634
3Seoul Jungnang1784530:2028
4Geumsan Insam1776428:2127
5Namyangju1775523:2226
6Jecheon Citizen1766519:2224
7Sejong SA1572623:2423
8Geoje1663730:2621
9Pyeongchang United1662820:2420
10Gijang United1762921:2920
11Haman16421016:2814
12Seosan Pioneer16401220:3812
13Pyeongtaek Citizen16231116:379
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