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Jinju Citizen vs Jincheon

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Jinju Citizen Logo

Jinju Citizen

2 - 6
FT
Jincheon Logo

Jincheon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Jincheon in this K4 League matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jincheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Jinju Citizen
20%
Draws
40%
Jincheon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jinju Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Jincheon.
  • Model gives Jinju Citizen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 18%
Jincheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinju Citizen Jincheon
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 22 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 2.13 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Jincheon
2:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinju Citizen 85 / 100
Jincheon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinju Citizen Jincheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jinju Citizen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Jinju Citizen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Jincheon conceded in 57% of 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jinju Citizen VS Jincheon
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Jinju Citizen

(Home)
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Jinju Citizen
1 : 2
Namyangju
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
22 Aug
Gijang United
1 : 4
Jinju Citizen
19 Aug
Pohang
3 : 1
Jinju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Jincheon

(Away)
12 Sept
Jecheon Citizen
1 : 1
Jincheon
06 Sept
Haman
3 : 1
Jincheon
22 Aug
Pyeongchang United
0 : 1
Jincheon
25 Jul
Jincheon
4 : 1
Geoje
11 Jul
Sejong SA
4 : 1
Jincheon
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 20 16 2 2 50:16 50
2 Jincheon 20 11 5 4 38:20 38
3 Namyangju 21 10 6 5 30:26 36
4 Seoul Jungnang 20 10 4 6 38:23 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 21 7 7 7 26:31 28
7 Geoje 18 8 3 7 33:26 27
8 Pyeongchang United 20 8 2 10 27:31 26
9 Gijang United 20 8 2 10 28:36 26
10 Sejong SA 20 8 2 10 29:40 26
11 Haman 19 6 2 11 22:32 20
12 Seosan Pioneer 20 4 0 16 22:46 12
13 Pyeongtaek Citizen 20 2 5 13 20:44 11
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