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Jinju Citizen vs Sejong SA

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jinju Citizen play Sejong SA in the K4 League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Jinju Citizen averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Sejong SA averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Jinju Citizen won 2, Sejong SA won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Jinju Citizen and 1.19 for Sejong SA. This points to a Jinju Citizen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Jinju Citizen
15%
Draws
31%
Sejong SA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jinju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Jinju Citizen picked up more points recently compared to Sejong SA.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Jinju Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Sejong SA Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jinju Citizen Sejong SA
Matches Played 27 18
Wins 18 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.15 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Jinju Citizen vs Sejong SA
2:1
May 3, 2026 K4 League
Jinju Citizen vs Sejong SA
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jinju Citizen 53 / 100
Sejong SA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jinju Citizen Sejong SA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jinju Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jinju Citizen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jinju Citizen attacking → ← attacking Sejong SA

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jinju Citizen scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Sejong SA let in goals in 78% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jinju Citizen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sejong SA lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 26
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1694331:1531
3Geumsan Insam1676327:1827
4Seoul Jungnang1674527:1925
5Jecheon Citizen1666417:1924
6Sejong SA1572623:2423
7Geoje1563629:2221
8Namyangju1555518:1920
9Pyeongchang United1662820:2420
10Gijang United1652919:2917
11Haman1542915:2614
12Pyeongtaek Citizen15231016:329
13Seosan Pioneer14301115:369