Sport Picks
JK Poseidon vs Arukula Vigri
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
56'
56'
Pulst K.
60'
60'
Randjoe R.
82'
82'
Pulst K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Arukula Vigri advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JK Poseidon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- JK Poseidon carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives JK Poseidon a 64% chance of winning this.
- JK Poseidon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Arukula Vigri, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
JK Poseidon Clean Sheet 10%
Arukula Vigri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | JK Poseidon | Arukula Vigri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 8 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.08 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.15 | 5.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2023 Estonian Cup
JK Poseidon vs Arukula Vigri
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
JK Poseidon Compare
Top Goalscorer Pulst K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tammsaar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88
Arukula Vigri Compare
Top Goalscorer Randjoe R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mere M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
JK Poseidon 38 / 100
Arukula Vigri 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
JK Poseidon Arukula Vigri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick JK Poseidon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arukula Vigri has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
JK Poseidon's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Solid form: JK Poseidon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
JK Poseidon VS Arukula Vigri
1.88 Goals Scored 1
3.75 Goals Conceded 5.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
JK Poseidon
(Home) 11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12 Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6 Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4 JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 6
11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12 Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2 Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6 Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0 Tallinna Kalev U21
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3 Arukula Vigri
Page 1 of 3
Arukula Vigri
(Away) 22 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 1 Raasiku Joker
30 Jul
Arukula Vigri
0 : 4 Kristiine
13 Aug
Narva
7 : 0 Arukula Vigri
18 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
9 : 1 Arukula Vigri
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3 Arukula Vigri
Page 1 of 2
13 Aug
Narva
7 : 0 Arukula Vigri
18 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
9 : 1 Arukula Vigri
06 Sept
JK Poseidon
2 : 3 Arukula Vigri
08 Jul
Parnu
9 : 0 Arukula Vigri
25 Jul
Tabasalu
11 : 1 Arukula Vigri
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TBD -
Tartu Kalev 9
FC Sssolutions 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia -
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Legion 10
TBD -
Johvi Phoenix -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Alliance -
Elva -
TBD -
TBD -
Saue JK Laagri -
Tervis Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
FCP Parnu -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Raplamaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Valga Warrior -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora IV -
Maardu Aliens -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tallinn -
Kristiine 2
Kohvile 3
Viimsi JK 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Narva -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2
Rumori Calcio 4
Zenit Tallinn 3
Hiiumaa 1
Tallinna Gorillad -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Jogeva Wolves 0
Kuressaare 8
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Keila JK 11
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Legion II -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Kalju -
TBD -
Tabasalu Ulasabat 4
Flora U19 0
TransferWise 1
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Tulevik -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Pelgu City -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
TBD -
TBD -
Vandra Vaprus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 20
Vana Hea Puur 0
Drakon 0
Nomme Utd 12
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2 2
Tartu Kalev 3
TBD -
Levadia -
Legion 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Tammeka Tartu -
Imavere Forss -
Flora -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus 6
FC Alliance 1
Elva 1
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tervis Parnu 8
FCP Parnu 3
Maksatransport 5
Loo JK 1
Raplamaa 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 5
Valga Warrior 1
JK Poseidon 6
Arukula Vigri 3
Flora IV 2
Maardu Aliens -
FC Tallinn -
Kohvile 0
Viimsi JK 3
Narva -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio 3
Zenit Tallinn 8
Tallinna Gorillad 0
Tabasalu 16
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Helm 2
Parnu 0
Saku Sporting 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Kuressaare -
Jarva-Jaani -
Sillamae Silmet 0
Kose 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Keila JK 0
Legion II 3
Soccernet 1
Kalju 4
Tabasalu Ulasabat 0
TransferWise 0
Tulevik 3
Rumori Calcio II 0
Olympic Tallinn 3
Harju JK Laagri 12
Pelgu City 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos 6
Vandra Vaprus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Eston Villa 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev 2
Levadia 6
Legion 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Flora 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Elva 5
Tervis Parnu 2
Maksatransport 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 3
JK Poseidon 2
Arukula Vigri 3
FC Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2
Narva 5
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tabasalu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Helm 3
Tallinna Kalev U21 7
Kuressaare 9
Kose 1
Flora Tallinn U21 13
Legion II 0
Kalju 5
Tulevik 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 8
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Tallinna Kalev 4
Nomme Utd 11
Eston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Levadia 4
Tammeka Tartu 2
Flora 10
Elva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 9
Arukula Vigri 1
Viimsi JK 1
Narva 0
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Tallinna Kalev U21 0
Kuressaare 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Kalju 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
Tallinna Kalev 3
Nomme Utd 1
Quarter-finals
Levadia 2
Flora 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Viimsi JK 3
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kalju 1
Final
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 2
