Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Jocoro vs Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Sat, Mar 16, 2024
0 - 2
09:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jocoro host Santa Tecla in the Primera Division 2023/2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Santa Tecla have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while Jocoro have conceded 1.87 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor Jocoro slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2024, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Santa Tecla. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Jocoro
20%
Draws
16%
Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jocoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jocoro come out ahead of Santa Tecla on wins alone.
  • Jocoro are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Jocoro Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jocoro Santa Tecla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Jocoro
3:4
Mar 16, 2024 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Santa Tecla
0:2
Oct 18, 2023 Primera Division
Jocoro vs Santa Tecla
3:1
Sep 27, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Jocoro
1:1
Apr 17, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Jocoro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jocoro 50 / 100
Santa Tecla 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jocoro Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jocoro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Tecla let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Santa Tecla has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Jocoro's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Jocoro VS Santa Tecla
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jocoro

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Jocoro
1 : 4
Luis Angel Firpo
28 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 1
Municipal Limeno
25 Apr
Metapan
2 : 0
Jocoro
21 Apr
Jocoro
0 : 0
Aguila
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Santa Tecla

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)