Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Otepaa in this Estonian Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otepaa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Otepaa lately — more wins on the board than Jogeva.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Otepaa taking it.
- Otepaa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Otepaa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Jogeva Clean Sheet 10%
Otepaa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jogeva | Otepaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 23 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.05 | 2.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.82 | 2.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2019 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Otepaa
2:4
Jul 18, 2018 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Otepaa
7:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jogeva 26 / 100
Otepaa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jogeva Otepaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Otepaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jogeva's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Otepaa has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.
Games between these two average 8.00 goals.
Difficult form: Otepaa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jogeva VS Otepaa
3 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jogeva
(Home) 10 Jul
Nomme Utd
: Jogeva
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
25 Sept
Narva
8 : 0 Jogeva
23 Aug
Tallinn Piraaja
3 : 4 Jogeva
Page 1 of 5
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
21 Jun
Jogeva
4 : 1 Imavere Forss
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4 Metropool Parnu
Page 1 of 3
Otepaa
(Away) 09 Oct
Eston Villa II
3 : 0 Otepaa
13 Aug
Parnu Sadam
1 : 2 Otepaa
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
25 Jul
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 2 Otepaa
Page 1 of 5
09 Oct
Eston Villa II
3 : 0 Otepaa
13 Aug
Parnu Sadam
1 : 2 Otepaa
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
25 Jul
Zenit Tallinn
5 : 2 Otepaa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Elva 3
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarvastu -
Tabasalu -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Lelle 2
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
ReUnited -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Flora U19 10
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Molycorp Silmet -
Tallinna Kalev III 4
Tammeka Tartu IV 0
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Puhkus Mehhikos -
TBD -
JK 32. keskkool -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Tulevik -
Kadrina SK Moe -
Viimsi JK 2 1
Igiliikur 2
Vastseliina Tannem 3
Soccernet 1
Mulgi 0
Tallinna Wolves 1
Legion II 3
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn 1
Tammeka Tartu 8
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Olympic Tallinn 1
TBD -
Kristiine -
Teleios -
TBD -
Viking 0
Pohja-Tallinna 18
Maardu Linnameeskond 12
Valga Warrior 0
TBD -
Elbato -
Kohtla-Nomme -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Zenit Tallinn 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 0
TBD -
Levadia -
Paide Linnameeskond II 13
Mauruse Saurused 2
TBD -
Kose -
Keila JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
Maksatransport 1
Kadakas 3
Legion -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Narva -
Eston Villa II -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Parnu Sadam 5
Kohila 0
Jogeva 2
Otepaa 4
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool -
TBD -
Metsis 0
Eston Villa 15
Marjamaa Kompanii 6
FC Sssolutions 2
TBD -
Anija -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Rakvere 0
TBD -
Voru Helios -
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Helios 5
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu-Jaagupi 2
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Jogeva Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna 2 -
1/32-finals
Elva 7
Viimsi Lovid 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Tarvastu 7
Tabasalu 1
Lelle 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
Flora Tallinn U21 5
ReUnited 5
JK Poseidon 1
Flora U19 2
Molycorp Silmet 5
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 6
Tulevik 7
Igiliikur 1
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Tallinna Wolves 5
Legion II 9
Aksi Wolves 0
Nomme Utd 1
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond 10
Kristiine 0
Teleios 2
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Elbato 0
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Flora 12
Helm 3
Rumori Calcio 2
Zenit Tallinn 0
Levadia 7
Paide Linnameeskond II 5
Kose 0
Keila JK 0
Kalju 2
Kuressaare 12
Kadakas 1
Legion 0
Narva 7
Eston Villa II 1
Loo JK 0
Parnu Sadam 1
Otepaa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Eston Villa 2
Marjamaa Kompanii 1
Anija 2
Tartu JK Welco 10
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 1
FC Hell Hunt 0
Helios 1
Pohja-Sakala 5
Viimsi JK 2
Raplamaa 0
Jogeva Wolves 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 6
1/16-finals
Elva 4
Tarvastu 1
Tabasalu 2
Flora Tallinn U21 1
ReUnited 5
Molycorp Silmet 2
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 11
Tallinna Wolves 0
Legion II 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Flora 7
Helm 1
Levadia 21
Paide Linnameeskond II 0
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 1
Narva 3
Eston Villa II 3
Otepaa 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Anija 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Voru Helios 2
Tallinna Kalev 3
Pohja-Sakala 0
Viimsi JK 0
Pohja-Tallinna 2 2
1/8-finals
Elva 2
Tabasalu 0
ReUnited 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Tulevik 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Flora 3
Levadia 1
Kalju 2
Narva 21
Eston Villa II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
Voru Helios 1
Tallinna Kalev 7
Pohja-Tallinna 2 0
Quarter-finals
Elva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 1
Tammeka Tartu 0
Flora 3
Kalju 1
Narva 2
Voru Helios 0
Tallinna Kalev 6
Semi-finals
Elva 2
Flora 4
Narva 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Final
Flora 2
Narva 1
