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Johnstone Burgh vs Newton Stewart Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Durnan M.
45' Event
Watson B.
Assist: Orr T.
61' Event
Whyte M.

AI Match Summary

Johnstone Burgh in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Johnstone Burgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Johnstone Burgh
15%
Draws
20%
Newton Stewart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johnstone Burgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Newton Stewart haven't matched Johnstone Burgh's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Johnstone Burgh taking it.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 16%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johnstone Burgh Newton Stewart
Matches Played 15 22
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.13 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.64
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Scottish Cup
Newton Stewart vs Johnstone Burgh
1:3
Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League
Johnstone Burgh vs Newton Stewart
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johnstone Burgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Watson B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Durnan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Newton Stewart Compare

Top Goalscorer Whyte M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Drysdale R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johnstone Burgh 84 / 100
Newton Stewart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johnstone Burgh Newton Stewart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johnstone Burgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johnstone Burgh's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Newton Stewart let in goals in 95% of their last 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Johnstone Burgh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Johnstone Burgh VS Newton Stewart
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Johnstone Burgh

(Home)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4
Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3

Newton Stewart

(Away)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)