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Johnstone Burgh vs Troon FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Durnan M.
Assist: McShane I.
70' Event
Mason A.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Johnstone Burgh and Troon FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johnstone Burgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Johnstone Burgh
15%
Draws
20%
Troon FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johnstone Burgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Troon FC haven't matched Johnstone Burgh's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Johnstone Burgh taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Johnstone Burgh Clean Sheet 10%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johnstone Burgh Troon FC
Matches Played 14 12
Wins 6 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Lowland League
Troon FC vs Johnstone Burgh
1:2
Jul 29, 2026 Lowland League
Johnstone Burgh vs Troon FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johnstone Burgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Durnan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mason A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Troon FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johnstone Burgh 83 / 100
Troon FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johnstone Burgh Troon FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johnstone Burgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Johnstone Burgh scored in 86% of their last 14 outings.

Defensive concern: Troon FC conceded in 92% of 12 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Johnstone Burgh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Johnstone Burgh VS Troon FC
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Johnstone Burgh

(Home)
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2
Renfrew
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4
Johnstone Burgh
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
Page 1 of 3

Troon FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Troon FC
1 : 3
Cumbernauld Colts
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)