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Johor DT vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Sultan Ibrahim Stadium, Johor Bahru
Johor DT Logo

Johor DT

3 - 1
FT
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Logo

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Kim Ju-Sung
25'
Sub
Insa N. In: Aketxe A.
Out: Insa N.
26'
Kim Ju-Sung
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Johor DT in this AFC Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Johor DT
15%
Draws
41%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johor DT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima haven't matched Johor DT's recent run of results.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Johor DT taking it.
  • Johor DT have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Johor DT, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sanfrecce Hiroshima have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Johor DT Clean Sheet 68%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johor DT Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 19
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 4.14 2.18
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 AFC Champions League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Johor DT
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 AFC Champions League
Johor DT vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3:1
Feb 10, 2026 AFC Champions League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Johor DT
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johor DT Compare

Top Goalscorer Aketxe A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bergson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johor DT 50 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johor DT Sanfrecce Hiroshima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johor DT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johor DT's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Johor DT went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Johor DT VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Johor DT

(Home)
08 Oct
Johor DT
6 : 0
Svay Rieng
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
15 Sept
Johor DT
1 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
11 Sept
Johor DT
3 : 0
Negeri Sembilan FA
08 Sept
Johor DT
10 : 0
Damansara
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Iwaki
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal 3
Al Sadd 4
Vissel Kobe 3
Seoul 1
Al Ahli SC 1
Al Duhail 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Johor DT 3
Machida Zelvia 1
Gangwon 0
Al Ittihad 1
Al Wahda 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Melbourne City 1
Tractor 0
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3
Quarter-finals
Al Sadd 3
Vissel Kobe 4
Al Ahli SC 2
Johor DT 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Al Ittihad 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Machida Zelvia 1
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0
Final
Al Ahli SC 1
Machida Zelvia 0