Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup Heino Lipp Stadium

Elva III

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Johvi Phoenix play Elva III in the Estonian Cup. Johvi Phoenix are favorites here. Recently, Johvi Phoenix averaged 2.48 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Elva III averaged 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. In past meetings, Johvi Phoenix won 1, Elva III won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.25 for Johvi Phoenix and 2.38 for Elva III. This points to a Johvi Phoenix double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Johvi Phoenix

25%

Draws

15%

Elva III

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Johvi Phoenix picked up more points recently compared to Elva III.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.25 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82%

Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Elva III Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Johvi Phoenix	Elva III
Matches Played	31	1
Wins	16	0
Draws	2	0
Losses	13	1
Goals Scored	2.48	2
Goals Conceded	2.29	4
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Estonian Cup

Johvi Phoenix vs Elva III

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 56 / 100

Elva III 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Johvi Phoenix Elva III

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (1)

Secondary Pick Johvi Phoenix & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Johvi Phoenix attacking → ← attacking Elva III

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Elva III let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Johvi Phoenix went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Elva III lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 0

2.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00