Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix

4 - 2

Narva U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Minajev M.

17'

Baljabkin N.

26'

Stoyanov B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Johvi Phoenix in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Johvi Phoenix

30%

Draws

34%

Narva U21

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Johvi Phoenix average 2.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Narva U21's 2.
Johvi Phoenix are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%

Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Johvi Phoenix	Narva U21
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	16	16
Draws	2	4
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	2.63	2
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Esiliiga B

Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Mar 28, 2026 Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 2 - 0

4:2

Oct 8, 2025 Esiliiga B

Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B

Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

4:2

Jul 6, 2025 Esiliiga B

Narva U21 vs Johvi Phoenix

Possession: 53% - 41% Cards: 0 - 4

3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoyanov B.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Minajev M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baljabkin N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jegorov A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 34 / 100

Narva U21 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Johvi Phoenix Narva U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Narva U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Johvi Phoenix has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS Narva U21

2.63 Goals Scored 2

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tammeka Tartu U21	19	12	2	5	54:37	38
2	Tulevik	19	11	1	7	55:39	34
3	Johvi Phoenix	19	11	1	7	49:47	34
4	Narva U21	18	10	2	6	44:28	32
5	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	19	10	2	7	56:42	32
6	Levadia U19	19	10	2	7	48:34	32
7	Tabasalu	19	9	0	10	33:50	27
8	Tartu Kalev	19	8	1	10	49:42	25
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	19	4	2	13	38:46	14
10	Legion	18	2	1	15	16:77	7