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Johvi Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix Logo

Johvi Phoenix

4 - 3
FT
Tallinna Kalev U21 Logo

Tallinna Kalev U21

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Radionov I.
23' Event
Jaritsa E.
27' Event
Radionov I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Johvi Phoenix and Tallinna Kalev U21 finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Johvi Phoenix
15%
Draws
28%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Johvi Phoenix come out ahead of Tallinna Kalev U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Johvi Phoenix a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Johvi Phoenix here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Johvi Phoenix Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.53 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:3
Aug 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
3:1
May 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Radionov I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shashkov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaritsa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lasn O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Johvi Phoenix 74 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Johvi Phoenix Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Tallinna Kalev U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Johvi Phoenix stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Johvi Phoenix VS Tallinna Kalev U21
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Johvi Phoenix

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
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Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)