Sport Picks

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Joinville U20 vs Brusque U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sutil E.
90' Event
Santana C.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Joinville U20 and Brusque U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusque U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Joinville U20
15%
Draws
0%
Brusque U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Joinville U20 come out ahead of Brusque U20 on wins alone.
  • Joinville U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Brusque U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville U20 Brusque U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 27
Goals Scored 1.2 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Catarinense U20
Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20
0:1
May 5, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Brusque U20
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Brusque U20
1:0
May 18, 2025 Catarinense U20
Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20
3:1
Jun 7, 2024 Catarinense U20
Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joinville U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Brusque U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sutil E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santana C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville U20 85 / 100
Brusque U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville U20 Brusque U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque U20 let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Brusque U20 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Joinville U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Joinville U20 VS Brusque U20
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville U20

(Home)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

Brusque U20

(Away)
01 Aug
Criciuma U20
5 : 0
Brusque U20
28 Jul
Carlos Renaux U20
1 : 0
Brusque U20
25 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 2
Figueirense U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
04 Jul
Barra FC U20
3 : 0
Brusque U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)