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Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
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Match Events

2' Event
39' Event
44' Event

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Joinville U20 and Chapecoense-SC U20 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapecoense-SC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Joinville U20
20%
Draws
36%
Chapecoense-SC U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Joinville U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chapecoense-SC U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chapecoense-SC U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville U20 Chapecoense-SC U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.2 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Joinville U20
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:3
Jul 23, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:3
May 5, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Joinville U20
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville U20 12 / 100
Chapecoense-SC U20 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville U20 Chapecoense-SC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Joinville U20's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Joinville U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Joinville U20 VS Chapecoense-SC U20
0.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville U20

(Home)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
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Chapecoense-SC U20

(Away)
10 Sept
Operario PR U20
3 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
16 Aug
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Chapecoense-SC U20
08 Aug
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Criciuma U20
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
26 Jul
Chapecoense-SC U20
2 : 2
Nacao U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)