Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Joinville U20 vs Concordia U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Rezende M.
49' Event
Sobrinho L.
57'
Gorges J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Catarinense U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Joinville U20
15%
Draws
0%
Concordia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Joinville U20 lately — more wins on the board than Concordia U20.
  • Joinville U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Concordia U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville U20 Concordia U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.2 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Joinville U20
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Concordia U20
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Joinville U20
1:3
May 23, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Concordia U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Joinville U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobrinho L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas F. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Concordia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezende M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pires C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville U20 77 / 100
Concordia U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville U20 Concordia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Concordia U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Joinville U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Joinville U20 VS Concordia U20
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville U20

(Home)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
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Concordia U20

(Away)
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
19 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 3
Barra FC U20
15 Jul
Criciuma U20
1 : 0
Concordia U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)