Sport Picks
Joinville vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
Match Events
7'
7'
Yann Rolim
33'
33'
Pedro Arthur
55'
55'
Vargas L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Joinville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barra FC (Santa Catarina) haven't matched Joinville's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Joinville's way, sitting at 80%.
- Joinville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Joinville, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Joinville Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Joinville | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.77 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Joinville
1:0
Jun 30, 2025 Serie D
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Joinville
1:0
May 17, 2025 Serie D
Joinville vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2:1
Jan 19, 2025 Catarinense
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Joinville
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Joinville Compare
Top Goalscorer Yann Rolim
1 Goals Assists Leader Vargas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro Arthur
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Joinville 86 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Joinville Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Joinville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Joinville scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.
Defensive concern: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Joinville has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Joinville VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2.17 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Joinville
(Home) 10 Oct
Santa Catarina
0 : 3 Joinville
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4 Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3 Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0 Blumenau
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3 Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0 Blumenau
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0 Guarany de Bage
23 May
Joinville
0 : 0 Cianorte
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Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
(Away) 26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3 Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2 Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Aug
Maringa FC
2 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Hercilio Luz | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)
