Sport Picks
Joinville vs CA Metropolitano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Joinville have averaged 1 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against CA Metropolitano's 1.59 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Joinville have won 2 to CA Metropolitano's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2021, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.58 xG vs 1.73) point toward CA Metropolitano. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and CA Metropolitano come out ahead of Joinville on wins alone.
- Model gives Joinville a 51% chance of winning this.
- CA Metropolitano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Joinville, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Joinville | CA Metropolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.58 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Joinville went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
CA Metropolitano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Joinville's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
CA Metropolitano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Joinville
(Home)CA Metropolitano
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
