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Joinville vs Carlos Renaux Prediction & H2H Stats

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Copa Santa Catarina 2022
Joinville Logo

Joinville

2 - 0
FT
Carlos Renaux Logo

Carlos Renaux

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Joinville in this Copa Santa Catarina 2022 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Joinville
15%
Draws
45%
Carlos Renaux
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlos Renaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Carlos Renaux at 1.14 per game, Joinville at 1.1.
  • Win probability leans Joinville's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Joinville, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Joinville Clean Sheet 10%
Carlos Renaux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Joinville Carlos Renaux
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Catarinense
Carlos Renaux vs Joinville
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Catarinense
Joinville vs Carlos Renaux
3:0
Jan 21, 2026 Catarinense
Joinville vs Carlos Renaux
0:1
Oct 1, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Carlos Renaux vs Joinville
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Joinville vs Carlos Renaux
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Joinville 40 / 100
Carlos Renaux 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Joinville Carlos Renaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carlos Renaux's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Joinville has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Joinville scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Joinville VS Carlos Renaux
0.88 Goals Scored 4
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Joinville

(Home)
26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4
Joinville
12 Sept
Joinville
1 : 3
Hercilio Luz
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
Page 1 of 7

Carlos Renaux

(Away)
06 Mar
Figueirense
2 : 4
Carlos Renaux
26 Feb
Carlos Renaux
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Feb
Carlos Renaux
2 : 1
Joinville
14 Feb
Joinville
3 : 0
Carlos Renaux
09 Feb
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Carlos Renaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 10 5 5 0 21:9 20
2 Figueirense 10 5 1 4 13:15 16
3 Hercilio Luz 10 4 3 3 14:11 15
4 Carlos Renaux 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
5 Joinville 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
6 Nacao 10 1 2 7 5:19 5
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2022 (Play Offs)