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Jonava vs FK Kedainiai

Lithuania Lithuania

Division 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jonava play FK Kedainiai in the Division 2 2012. Jonava are favorites here. Recently, Jonava averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. FK Kedainiai averaged 0.7 goals scored and 5 conceded. In past meetings, Jonava won 3, FK Kedainiai won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 30, 2012 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Jonava and 1.31 for FK Kedainiai. This points to a Jonava double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Jonava
17%
Draws
13%
FK Kedainiai
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Jonava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jonava picked up more points recently compared to FK Kedainiai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Jonava Clean Sheet 18%
FK Kedainiai Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jonava FK Kedainiai
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 1.55 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.33 5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2012 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kedainiai
8:0
Aug 1, 2012 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kedainiai
3:0
May 12, 2012 I Lyga
FK Kedainiai vs Jonava
2:7
Sep 24, 2011 I Lyga
Jonava vs FK Kedainiai
2:3
Jul 5, 2011 I Lyga
FK Kedainiai vs Jonava
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jonava 67 / 100
FK Kedainiai 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jonava FK Kedainiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Jonava & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Jonava attacking → ← attacking FK Kedainiai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jonava scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

FK Kedainiai let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Jonava went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Kedainiai lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 8
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00