Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Pugno D.
Assist: Nash P.
3'
3'
Quispel F.
Assist: Dede-Lhomme Y.
19'
19'
Unuvar E.
Assist: Janse D.
AI Match Summary
FC Emmen in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 4-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Emmen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Emmen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: FC Emmen at 1.52 per game, Jong Ajax at 1.3.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors FC Emmen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
FC Emmen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Ajax | FC Emmen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 17, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs FC Emmen
4:6
Feb 23, 2026 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Jong Ajax
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs FC Emmen
0:1
Mar 11, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs FC Emmen
0:2
Nov 8, 2024 Eerste Divisie
FC Emmen vs Jong Ajax
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Pugno D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Unuvar E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
FC Emmen Compare
Top Goalscorer Quispel F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cooper-Love J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Ajax 30 / 100
FC Emmen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Ajax FC Emmen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Emmen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Jong Ajax's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Jong Ajax went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Jong Ajax VS FC Emmen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Ajax
(Home) 18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
31 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2 Helmond Sport
17 Aug
Jong Ajax
4 : 6 FC Emmen
24 Apr
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
FC Emmen
(Away) 18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1 FC Emmen
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
04 Sept
FC Emmen
5 : 3 FC Volendam
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0 FC Emmen
21 Aug
FC Emmen
3 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Eindhoven FC
3 : 1 FC Emmen
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0 FC Emmen
17 Aug
Jong Ajax
4 : 6 FC Emmen
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0 FC Emmen
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2 FC Emmen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 24:10 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Venlo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Waalwijk | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Vitesse | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Maastricht | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 7 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 8 | Roda | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 9 | FC Emmen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 | NAC Breda | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 18 | TOP Oss | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:21 | 4 |
| 20 | De Graafschap | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:20 | 4 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
