Sport Picks
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel 
Match Events
12'
12'
Nash P.
Assist: Pugno D.
14'
14'
Unuvar E.
Assist: Pugno D.
18'
18'
Koglin B.
Assist: Lantaki W.
AI Match Summary
Jong Ajax in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Ajax.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Jong Ajax lately — more wins on the board than Helmond Sport.
- Model gives Helmond Sport a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jong Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Helmond Sport Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Jong Ajax | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport
3:2
Feb 27, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport
5:1
Nov 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Jong Ajax
2:1
Apr 28, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Helmond Sport vs Jong Ajax
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Jong Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Nash P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Unuvar E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Helmond Sport Compare
Top Goalscorer Koglin B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dekkers S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Jong Ajax 22 / 100
Helmond Sport 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Jong Ajax Helmond Sport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Helmond Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Helmond Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Jong Ajax scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: Helmond Sport has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Jong Ajax VS Helmond Sport
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Jong Ajax
(Home) 09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3 Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
14 Sept
Jong Utrecht
6 : 1 Jong Ajax
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3 Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0 Roda
11 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 2 Waalwijk
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2 Helmond Sport
17 Aug
Jong Ajax
4 : 6 FC Emmen
Page 1 of 3
Helmond Sport
(Away) 09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1 Helmond Sport
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 Heracles
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1 Helmond Sport
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Den Bosch
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
28 Aug
Jong Ajax
3 : 2 Helmond Sport
14 Aug
Roda
2 : 1 Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Almere City | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 17 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Maastricht | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 13 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | TOP Oss | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Eindhoven FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
